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Unprecedented capital investment is making tech companies increasingly asset-heavy, while the SpaceX IPO and potential offerings from OpenAI and Anthropic highlight the scale of financing required.
Get insights into current events and trends affecting global credit markets.
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Bangladesh, Pakistan and Sri Lanka rely heavily on energy imports, but the countries have built up their capacity to absorb shocks, so are better placed than during the last oil price surge in 2022.
Though the region lags in innovation, investment, skills, institutional depth and computing capacity, AI will still bolster some companies' competitive advantages in data, scale and infrastructure.
Surging memory chip prices will boost earnings for Korean and US chipmakers but increase costs for China's consumer electronics manufacturers, although leading companies are mitigating risks.
Even as these outlooks improved very slightly in the second quarter, our forecasts for sector earnings fell as companies grew wary of higher costs from shipping restrictions in the Strait of Hormuz.
Public blockchains such as Bitcoin and Ethereum are vulnerable to a breakthrough in quantum computers that would crack their cryptographic protections. New protections will take time to put in place.
EU banks operating across borders would benefit from more flexible capital management, but capital charges for exposures including mortgages and software investments would fall, a credit negative.
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